Hubbard Decision Research http://www.hubbardresearch.com The Applied Information Economics Company: Consulting, Training, and Execution Thu, 02 Feb 2012 13:59:05 +0000 en hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3 Feeling the Beat http://www.hubbardresearch.com/2012/02/feeling-the-beat/ http://www.hubbardresearch.com/2012/02/feeling-the-beat/#comments Thu, 02 Feb 2012 13:55:04 +0000 Douglas Hubbard http://www.hubbardresearch.com/?p=1996
Oracle, PROFIT, 2012

“Google searches, Twitter feeds, and even Amazon sales ranks produce a lot of data—data that can be used to identify trends in real time and help business leaders get ahead. ‘There’s a revolution in data about society,’ says Douglas Hubbard, author of Pulse: The New Science of Harnessing Internet Buzz to Track Threats and Opportunities (Wiley, 2011). Here Hubbard tells Profit what the pulse is—and how to find it.” [view article]

]]> http://www.hubbardresearch.com/2012/02/feeling-the-beat/feed/ 0 Upcoming Events http://www.hubbardresearch.com/2011/11/upcoming_events/ http://www.hubbardresearch.com/2011/11/upcoming_events/#comments Sun, 13 Nov 2011 16:01:51 +0000 Douglas Hubbard http://www.hubbardresearch.com/?p=1825 Q1 2012 Webinars have been posted.  Reserve your seat today! 

 

7th Annual Secure360 Conference Keynote Speaker May 8 – 9, 2012, St. Paul RiverCentre, St. Paul, MN

Hubbard’s session description.

]]> http://www.hubbardresearch.com/2011/11/upcoming_events/feed/ 0 Overview – 11.07.2011 http://www.hubbardresearch.com/2011/11/overview-11-07-2011/ http://www.hubbardresearch.com/2011/11/overview-11-07-2011/#comments Tue, 08 Nov 2011 17:27:57 +0000 Douglas Hubbard http://www.hubbardresearch.com/?p=1810 Hubbard Decision Research provides training, consulting, and tools for the most difficult measurement, forecasting and investment decisions facing organizations today.  We use the powerful Applied Information Economics (AIE) method designed especially for those problems that (at first) seem unquantifiable.  The president and founder, Douglas W. Hubbard, is the lead consultant as well as an author of three books that have sold a total of over 50,000 copies in five languages.

]]> http://www.hubbardresearch.com/2011/11/overview-11-07-2011/feed/ 0 Quote of the Day – 11.07.2011 http://www.hubbardresearch.com/2011/11/quote-of-the-day-11-07-2011/ http://www.hubbardresearch.com/2011/11/quote-of-the-day-11-07-2011/#comments Mon, 07 Nov 2011 17:19:23 +0000 Douglas Hubbard http://www.hubbardresearch.com/?p=1787
“Just as weather forecasting becomes more accurate with increased numbers of sensors and improved computational power, forecasting the “weather” of society will become just as scientific.” - Hubbard, Douglas W. (2011-05-03). Pulse: The New Science of Harnessing Internet Buzz to Track Threats and Opportunities. (Kindle Locations 198-199). Wiley. Kindle Edition.

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Hubbard Decision Research is a consulting firm specializing in Applied Information Econoimcs (AIE).  AIE addresses the difficult measurement, forecasting, risk assessment and decision analysis problems organizations face.  The president and founder is is Douglas Hubbard, an author whose books have sold over 50,000 copies in five languages.

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“As early as the 1970s and 1980s, research began to show there was often little correlation between self-reported data about social interaction and actual behavior.” - Hubbard, Douglas W. (2011-05-03). Pulse: The New Science of Harnessing Internet Buzz to Track Threats and Opportunities. (Kindle Locations 2597-2598). Wiley. Kindle Edition.

]]> http://www.hubbardresearch.com/2011/11/quote-of-the-day-11-04-2011/feed/ 0 Quote of the Day – 11.03.2011 http://www.hubbardresearch.com/2011/11/quote-of-the-day-11-03-2011/ http://www.hubbardresearch.com/2011/11/quote-of-the-day-11-03-2011/#comments Thu, 03 Nov 2011 04:38:45 +0000 Douglas Hubbard http://www.hubbardresearch.com/?p=1732
“… online search patterns, social networks, and blogging/ micro-blogging have all been correlated with interesting forecasts about disease outbreaks, political opinions, employment, and even how much money a movie can make.” - Hubbard, Douglas W. (2011-05-03). Pulse: The New Science of Harnessing Internet Buzz to Track Threats and Opportunities. (Kindle Locations 2559-2561). Wiley. Kindle Edition.

]]> http://www.hubbardresearch.com/2011/11/quote-of-the-day-11-03-2011/feed/ 0 Quote of the Day – 11.02.2011 http://www.hubbardresearch.com/2011/11/quote-of-the-day-11-02-2011/ http://www.hubbardresearch.com/2011/11/quote-of-the-day-11-02-2011/#comments Wed, 02 Nov 2011 14:40:18 +0000 Douglas Hubbard http://www.hubbardresearch.com/?p=1724
“Our online conversations, no matter how random, inane, or ‘ignored’ our posted thoughts might be, do appear to correlate with—and even predict—trends in measures of the economy and public opinion.” - Hubbard, Douglas W. (2011-05-03). Pulse: The New Science of Harnessing Internet Buzz to Track Threats and Opportunities. (Kindle Locations 2461-2463). Wiley. Kindle Edition.

]]> http://www.hubbardresearch.com/2011/11/quote-of-the-day-11-02-2011/feed/ 0 Reversed columns in regression example http://www.hubbardresearch.com/2011/11/reversed-columns-in-regression-example/ http://www.hubbardresearch.com/2011/11/reversed-columns-in-regression-example/#comments Tue, 01 Nov 2011 15:42:13 +0000 Douglas Hubbard http://www.hubbardresearch.com/?p=1721 On page 173 of the 2nd edition of How to Measure Anything, I show a formula for estimating ratings points of a TV show based on the correlation to weeks spent promoting the show.  The formula shown is actually an estimate of promotion weeks based on ratings points instead of an estimate of ratings points based on promotion weeks.  The correct formula should be

Ratings points = 0.215*promotion weeks + 0.877.

The subsequent estimate of ratings points from 10 weeks of promotions should then be about 0.215*10+0.877 or 3 ratings points.

Doug Hubbard

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“A striking example of the lack of timeliness of existing analytical methods was when the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) reported in September 2010 that the Great Recession had ended 15 months prior. Surely there is room for improvement.” - Hubbard, Douglas W. (2011-05-03). Pulse: The New Science of Harnessing Internet Buzz to Track Threats and Opportunities Wiley. Kindle Edition.

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