HDR Staff

The staff at Hubbard Decision Research, or HDR, has a unique and strong background in not only the Applied Information Economics method, but financial analysis, consultation, research, and more. The staff at HDR combine their experiences, education, and know-how to help your organization gain answers you never knew could be determined. Contact HDR today and let our staff help you drive results through our in-depth financial analysis and educational resources on Applied Information Economics.

Douglas W. Hubbard

Douglas Hubbard is the inventor of the Applied Information Economics (AIE) method and founder of Hubbard Decision Research (HDR). He is the author of How to Measure Anything: Finding the Value of Intangibles in BusinessThe Failure of Risk Management: Why It’s Broken and How to Fix It, Pulse: The New Science of Harnessing Internet Buzz to Track Threats and Opportunities and his latest book, How to Measure Anything in Cybersecurity Risk (Wiley, 2016). He has sold over 100,000 copies of his books in eight different languages.  Two of his books are required reading for the Society of Actuaries exam prep.  In addition to his books, Mr. Hubbard has been published in several periodicals including Nature, The IBM Journal of Research and Development, OR/MS Today, Analytics, CIO, Information Week, and Architecture Boston.

Mr. Hubbard’s career has focused on the application of AIE to solve current business issues facing today’s corporations. Mr. Hubbard has completed over 100 risk/return analyses of large, critical projects, investments and other management decisions in the last 20 years. AIE is the practical application of several fields of quantitative analysis including Bayesian analysis, Monte Carlo simulations, and many others. Mr. Hubbard’s consulting experience totals over 29 years and spans many industries including insurance, financial services, pharmaceutical, healthcare, utilities, energy, federal and state government, entertainment media, military logistics, and manufacturing. His AIE methodology, has received critical praise from The Gartner Group, The Giga Information Group, and Forrester Research. He is a popular speaker at valuation, risk, metrics and decision analysis conferences all over the world.

Matthew Millar

Director of Consulting Operations

Matthew Millar is the Director of Consulting Operations at Hubbard Decision Research. Mr. Millar has used Applied Information Economics and his background in quantitative finance to assist clients across a diverse array of industries – including finance, oil & gas, commercial real estate, internet security, and pharmaceuticals; as well as in more boutique applications, such as agricultural research in the developing world and measuring the benefit of standards to the insurance industry. At HDR, he is also responsible for leading day to day operations, training, and leading client educational workshops and webinars.

Prior to joining HDR, Mr. Millar was a portfolio manager for the hedge fund Armored Wolf, managing a percentage of the funds and working directly with the CIO. Contributing both through direct returns and also through his improvements in the risk analytics system, Mr. Millar helped to build assets and analytic metrics for the hedge fund and associated mutual fund products. Mr. Millar’s work at the hedge fund was quantitatively driven, from algorithmic trading systems to building a model to track volatility and correlations among managers in the firm. Mr. Millar was commonly cited in commodity related articles for Reuters, and was a popular commentator for financialsense.com

Prior to his work in the financial field, Mr. Millar was a musician, playing cello for the Seattle Symphony and Seattle Opera. He has a Master of Science degree in Economics from the University of Oregon, where he specialized in monetary policy, econometrics, and the role of crude oil in the US economy.

Jon Murphy

Analyst, Hubbard Decision Research

Jonathan Murphy is one of the newest analysts on the HDR team. A recent graduate with experience in information security and the physical sciences, Jonathan has participated in several quantitative research projects, both academically and professionally. First, in the academic fields of computational chemistry and bioinformatics, developing and implementing mathematical models to predict how nanoparticles and proteins would react to certain stimuli. Then, a long-term project in corrosion science and electrochemistry, utilizing advanced testing and neural networks to predict performance of new solutions. Most recently, Jonathan has been involved in information security for a financial services organization, researching techniques for quantitative cybersecurity risk management, such as Douglas Hubbard’s Applied Information Economics.

Jonathan holds B.S. and M.S. degrees in mathematics and a graduate certificate in information security and privacy. His coursework covered various topics in pure and applied mathematics, such as mathematical and numerical analysis, differential equations, probability theory, and stochastic calculus. He also studied algorithms and data structures, applied cryptography, and quantum information science before graduating in May of 2017. Jonathan joined HDR as an analyst on the first of October in 2017.

Robert Stickney

Analyst, Hubbard Decision Research

Robert Stickney is an Analyst for Hubbard Decision Research, having recently returned to the United States after living and working in Central Europe for over half a decade. As a Data Scientist and Econometrician, he has a strong interest in utilizing relatively new analytical methods to reduce the inefficiencies and biases present in standard economic and business analysis.

His most recent projects include using data analysis to build a feasible strategy to combat gentrification for the non-profit Project for Social Housing in the Czech city of Brno, and designing a digital platform to measure the quantitative impact of planned artistic and architectural interventions in activating public space for the Center for Central European Architecture in Prague.

Before working in analytics, Robert accrued his international business experience working at Transped Europe in Worgl, Austria, where he was Key Account Manager for the United Kingdom. Prior to his role at Transped, he was an English teacher in the Tirol.

A passionate New Orleans native, his free time is spent using his analytical skills to tackle urban issues in his local community. He serves on the policy committee for the transportation advocacy group Ride NOLA, and is a member of the New Orleans evaluators association NOLA Eval.

He holds a B.A. in History from Vanderbilt University and a Masters in Economics from the Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education (CERGE-EI) in Prague, where he concentrated in Public Policy and Econometrics, graduating at the top of his class. He is fluent in German, and has a working knowledge of French.